2011 Sydney Cup Form Guide

April 21st, 2011

The 2011 Sydney Cup shapes as one of the closest contests in recent memory with a bag of top chances all with a real winning hope.

Hawk Island comes into the race as the top weighted entrant but will still have plenty of support after lugging an even bigger weight to victory across the wet turf last start.

 

Melbourne Cup runner C’est La Guerre is a major threat with a steadily improving campaign looking to peak just in time for the Sydney Cup.

The top Australian hope is Gai Waterhouse’s Once Were Wild and she has a handy second horse too with Older Than Time.

It’s assured of being an exciting contest with Mourayan tipped to again put the pace on early and try and kick a couple of lengths clear as they turn for home.

To bet on the 2011 Sydney Cup check out Luxbet where the market has been open for weeks. Because of the closeness of the race there’s great odds about every runner and if you fancy a long shot most of the field is well into double figures.

All new members are eligible for a $400 free bet too so check out Luxbet now!

2011 Sydney Cup Form Guide

#1 – Hawk Island (Barrier – 12) (57kgs)

  • Trainer: Chris Waller
  • Jockey: Glyn Schofield
  • Career Stats: 34s – 10w – 8p
  • Last Start: 1st at Randwick

Awesome win last start in horrible conditions with a big weight on a wet track. If he produces the same run he will win but the question is how much does he have left in the tank.

Bet on Hawk Island now at Luxbet

#2 – C’est La Guerre (Barrier – 9) (56kgs)

  • Trainer: Robert Hickmott
  • Jockey: Michael Rodd
  • Career Stats: 31s – 6w – 4p
  • Last Start: 3rd at Randwick

Has been steadily improving all year towards this event and if the pattern continues he should be well and truly towards the front. Likes a dead or slow track, if he gets one he’ll place or better.

Bet on C’est La Guerre now at Luxbet

#3 – Once Were Wild (Barrier – 17) (55kgs)

  • Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
  • Jockey: Nash Rawiller
  • Career Stats: 18s – 7w – 2p
  • Last Start: 1st at Randwick

Won on this track last start and she’s the best local chance. Only run the trip once and failed to place and she needs a dead track at the absolute worst to be a big threat.

Bet on Once Were Wild now at Luxbet

#4 – Mourayan (Barrier – 11) (54.5kgs)

  • Trainer: Robert Hickmott
  • Jockey: Nicholas Hall
  • Career Stats: 22s – 2w – 9p
  • Last Start: 2nd at Rosehill

Horrible career stats but punters were impressed by the gutsy effort last start. He’ll battle for the lead with Once Were Wild and don’t be surprised if they make an early break off the front.

Bet on Mourayan now at Luxbet

#5 – Above Average (Barrier – 1) (54kgs)

  • Trainer: Lee Freedman
  • Jockey: Corey Brown
  • Career Stats: 22s – 2w – 10p
  • Last Start: 3rd at Caulfield

Almost identical stats to Mourayan but doesn’t deserve to be so long in betting. There’s a good feeling around this horse and he hasn’t been far away in his previous two.

Bet on Above Average now at Luxbet

#6 – Muir (Barrier – 14) (54kgs)

  • Trainer: Robert Hickmott
  • Jockey: Darren Gauci
  • Career Stats: 22s – 6w – 3p
  • Last Start: 1st at Morphettville

Won the Adelaide Cup last start but will face a little more quality in this one. He’s improved a hell of a lot since February and if he can improve a little more he can win this race.

Bet on Muir now at Luxbet

#7 – Tinseltown (Barrier – 6) (54kgs)

  • Trainer: Michael Moroney
  • Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
  • Career Stats: 45s – 8w – 8p
  • Last Start: 7th at Randwick

Hard to see him compete here after an average run in the Auckland Cup and a 5.5 length 7th behind Once Were Wild last start. Would be a massive surprise.

Bet on Tinseltown now at Luxbet

#8 – Bid Spotter (Barrier – 2) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: Graeme Rogerson
  • Jockey: Brenton Avdulla
  • Career Stats: 28s – 7w – 4p
  • Last Start: 1st at Rosehill

Won the Hobart Cup, finished near last as favourite in the Launceston Cup and then charged home to win the Manion Cup at big odds. Form is unreadable, a must for exotics.

Bet on Bid Spotter now at Luxbet

#9 – Macedonian (Barrier – 7) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: Peter Moody
  • Jockey: Dwayne Dunn
  • Career Stats: 21s – 5w – 5p
  • Last Start: 3rd at Morphettville

Finished last year with two in a row but has struggled to hit top gear in 2011. Still, results are improving and he was less than a length off Muir in the Adelaide Cup last start.

Bet on Macedonian now at Luxbet

#10 – Laristan (Barrier – 16) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: David Hayes
  • Jockey: Craig Williams
  • Career Stats: 12s – 5w – 1p
  • Last Start: 5th at Rosehill

Has a win over 2400m but never run this journey. Was comfortably beaten in The BMW and will need a Good rated track to be any hope of causing an upset..

Bet on Laristan now at Luxbet

#11 – Older Than Time (Barrier – 10) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
  • Jockey: Glen Boss
  • Career Stats: 10s – 5w – 3p
  • Last Start: 4th at Randwick

Fourth in the Chairman Stakes after a string of four straight wins in 2011. The distance is the obvious query and she’s never won over 2000m but it’s a mare who knows how to find the line.

Bet on Older Than Time now at Luxbet

#12 – Strike One (Barrier – 3) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: Chris Waller
  • Jockey: Tim Clark
  • Career Stats: 37s – 7w – 13p
  • Last Start: 6th at Randwick

Needs massive improvement to be any hope of a place without finishing in the money since a second in the Summer Cup last year. Not one that will be in our tips.

Bet on Strike One now at Luxbet

#13 – Saint Encosta (Barrier – 15) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: John P Thompson
  • Jockey: Jim Cassidy
  • Career Stats: 20s – 2w – 4p
  • Last Start: 13th at Randwick

First on the Encosta’s but unfortunately worst of the Encosta’s. Won three starts back but the field was much lesser grade and he won’t feature here.

Bet on Saint Encosta now at Luxbet

#14 – Solid Billing (Barrier – 5) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: Craig Ritchie
  • Jockey: Cameron Lammas
  • Career Stats: 39s – 7w – 8p
  • Last Start: 10th at Rosehill

Been running in New Zealand and his only success was in a $30,000 handicap. Does have a victory over 3200m but he won’t be making it a second in the Sydney Cup.

Bet on Solid Billing now at Luxbet

#15 – Count Encosta (Barrier – 8) (53.5kgs)

  • Trainer: John P Thompson
  • Jockey: Jim Byrne
  • Career Stats: 19s – 3w – 1p
  • Last Start: 4th at Randwick

Without a win for ages but showed glimpses of promise last start. Ran home arguably the best of them for fourth in the Chairman’s Stakes so could be a rough chance at big odds.

Bet on Count Encosta now at Luxbet

#16 – Montahlia (Barrier – 13) (n/a)

  • Trainer: Michael Kent
  • Jockey: Christian Reith
  • Career Stats: 26s – 6w – 7p
  • Last Start: 2nd at Moonee Valley

A win in Werribee is her best result this year but that’s not good enough against this field. She’ll run mid-pack at best.

Bet on Montahlia now at Luxbet

#17 – Stand To Gain (Barrier – 4) (n/a) *Emergency*

  • Trainer: Chris Waller
  • Jockey: n/a
  • Career Stats: 21s – 4w – 6p
  • Last Start: 10th at Randwick